← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.61 |
| Duisburg win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 308.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1538.26 | 1388.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.40 | -20.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 49.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 0.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | — |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 17.60 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | -0.66 | -1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |