← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Wed, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.11 |
| Duisburg win | 13% | 7.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 20 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1391.53 | 1655.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.00 | 49.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| league points | 22.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.43 | 1.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |