← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Fri, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 73% | 60% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 27% | 5.53 | value: +49% |
| Bielefeld win | 9% | 13% | 10.60 | value: +39% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 2006.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1598.18 | 1432.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.39 | 27.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| league points | 63.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |