← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Fri, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 76% | 56% | 1.29 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 28% | 5.93 | value: +68% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 8% | 15% | 12.22 | value: +85% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RB Leipzig | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 289.00 | 1019.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1615.81 | 1405.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.72 | -50.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 62.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.72 | -1.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |