← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 41% | 2.51 | fair |
| Draw | 33% | 34% | 3.00 | fair |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 26% | 3.42 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1013.00 | 1986.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1426.52 | 1405.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.36 | -17.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| state index | -0.89 | -1.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |