← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 57% | 54% | 1.70 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 3.99 | value: +9% |
| Bochum win | 18% | 19% | 5.38 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 276.00 | 488.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1596.09 | 1540.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.55 | 29.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 56.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.63 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |