← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 61% | 58% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 4.08 | value: +10% |
| Munich 1860 win | 16% | 15% | 6.29 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 256.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1604.62 | 1420.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.90 | 26.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 0.96 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |