← 2. Bundesliga 2015-16 · Fri, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munich 1860 win | 49% | 36% | 2.01 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 33% | 3.46 | value: +14% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 23% | 32% | 4.20 | value: +33% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Munich 1860 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 977.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1411.20 | 1455.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.28 | -23.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 21.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.84 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |