← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Sun, May 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 54% | 60% | 1.79 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.72 | fair |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 19% | 14% | 5.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 904.00 | 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1555.41 | 1467.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.10 | 55.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 56.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.12 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |