← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 37% | 33% | 2.64 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 33% | 3.08 | fair |
| Heidenheim win | 31% | 34% | 3.10 | value: +6% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 671.00 | 2801.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1443.99 | 1471.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |