← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 49% | 44% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.56 | value: +4% |
| Bochum win | 24% | 26% | 4.07 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 144.00 | 600.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1443.80 | 1586.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.25 | 14.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 35.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.76 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |