← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 53% | 40% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 35% | 3.37 | value: +16% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 18% | 26% | 5.51 | value: +41% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 655.00 | 1142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1454.04 | 1570.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.17 | 20.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |