← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 45% | 46% | 2.19 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.35 | fair |
| Braunschweig win | 26% | 24% | 3.71 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 764.00 | 2529.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1470.80 | 1507.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.53 | -23.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 29.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |