← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Mon, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 35% | 32% | 2.83 | fair |
| Braunschweig win | 35% | 30% | 2.83 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 38% | 3.18 | value: +22% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2489.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1530.56 | 1495.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.33 | -25.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 33.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |