← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 57% | 45% | 1.71 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.81 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 17% | 29% | 5.58 | value: +60% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frankfurt FSV | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 539.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1465.80 | 1584.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.87 | 11.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.81 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |