← 2. Bundesliga 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 67% | 55% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 30% | 4.37 | value: +30% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 11% | 15% | 8.80 | value: +30% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 501.00 | 593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1590.42 | 1400.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.12 | 7.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.05 |
| league points | 43.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |