← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 78% | 66% | 1.24 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 22% | 6.81 | value: +50% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 7% | 12% | 13.48 | value: +60% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 436.00 | 314.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1563.93 | 1418.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.60 | -33.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 57.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |