← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 40% | 38% | 2.45 | fair |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 34% | 31% | 2.86 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 31% | 3.75 | value: +15% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 12641.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1521.00 | 1563.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.01 | 20.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.64 |
| state index | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |