← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 37% | 31% | 2.60 | fair |
| SV Sandhausen win | 34% | 35% | 2.86 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 34% | 3.43 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 307.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1435.57 | 1454.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.38 | -1.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 44.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |