← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 64% | 55% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | 4.50 | value: +14% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 14% | 19% | 6.86 | value: +32% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 300.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1546.15 | 1444.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.37 | 2.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |