← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 47% | 52% | 2.09 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.42 | fair |
| Bielefeld win | 25% | 21% | 3.94 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1394.00 | 1271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1425.62 | 1325.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.90 | 2.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 37.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.90 |
| state index | -0.42 | -1.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |