← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 64% | 59% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 4.70 | value: +10% |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 15% | 17% | 6.41 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 231.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1549.20 | 1428.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.57 | -56.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| state index | 0.27 | -1.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |