← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt FSV win | 47% | 49% | 2.08 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.36 | fair |
| SV Sandhausen win | 24% | 23% | 4.03 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frankfurt FSV | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1449.30 | 1442.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.60 | 18.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |