← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 36% | 33% | 2.73 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 36% | 44% | 2.73 | value: +19% |
| Draw | 29% | 24% | 3.42 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frankfurt FSV | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1472.91 | 1537.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.24 | 13.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 4.96 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.70 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |