← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Wed, Mar 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 71% | 73% | 1.37 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 17% | 5.12 | fair |
| Bielefeld win | 10% | 10% | 9.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 206.00 | 1241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1549.96 | 1323.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.71 | -32.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 41.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.96 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |