← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 71% | 67% | 1.37 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | 4.94 | value: +6% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 9% | 11% | 10.27 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 187.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1533.63 | 1429.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.74 | 3.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |