← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 62% | 65% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | 4.40 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 16% | 15% | 6.15 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 366.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1533.87 | 1470.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.14 | 7.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.23 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |