← 2. Bundesliga 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munich 1860 win | 37% | 40% | 2.66 | value: +7% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 33% | 28% | 2.94 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.23 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 243.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1429.80 | 1475.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.72 | -34.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |