← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 82% | 86% | 1.19 | fair |
| Draw | 12% | 10% | 7.82 | fair |
| SV Sandhausen win | 5% | 4% | 17.82 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 294.00 | 963.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1662.82 | 1395.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.20 | -21.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 63.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.79 |
| state index | 1.05 | -1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |