← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munich 1860 win | 52% | 55% | 1.89 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.52 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 21% | 19% | 4.70 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Munich 1860 | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1520.49 | 1488.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | 33.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |