← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Mon, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 56% | 55% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.52 | fair |
| Braunschweig win | 17% | 16% | 5.92 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 281.00 | 1803.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1656.96 | 1565.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.71 | -14.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 59.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 10.96 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 2.15 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |