← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 35% | 2.66 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 36% | 39% | 2.72 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.53 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1617.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1354.00 | 1476.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.32 | 7.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 18.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.48 |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |