← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 38% | 43% | 2.54 | value: +10% |
| Bochum win | 33% | 26% | 2.98 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.37 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 989.00 | 1780.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1425.37 | 1552.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.06 | -24.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| league points | 26.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.08 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |