← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Mon, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 40% | 40% | 2.43 | fair |
| Kaiserslautern win | 30% | 26% | 3.27 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 34% | 3.29 | value: +13% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1775.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1554.67 | 1547.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.92 | 7.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| league points | 51.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |