← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munich 1860 win | 40% | 51% | 2.43 | value: +24% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 32% | 25% | 3.09 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.44 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 919.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1416.46 | 1520.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.99 | -0.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 21.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |