← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 46% | 55% | 2.14 | value: +18% |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | 3.55 | fair |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 22% | 3.62 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1581.00 | 912.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1378.89 | 1399.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.60 | -16.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |