← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 36% | 47% | 2.72 | value: +27% |
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 27% | 2.77 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.38 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 907.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1414.11 | 1489.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.18 | -7.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 18.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |