← 2. Bundesliga 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 55% | 49% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 31% | 3.74 | value: +15% |
| Munich 1860 win | 18% | 21% | 5.30 | value: +9% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1760.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1580.16 | 1509.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.97 | -17.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| league points | 51.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.32 | 1.36 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |