← 2. Bundesliga 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 64% | 73% | 1.44 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 21% | 18% | 4.33 | fair |
| Munich 1860 win | 14% | 10% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 425.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1632.38 | 1535.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.62 | 3.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| league points | 68.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |