← 2. Bundesliga 2011-12 · Fri, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 72% | 71% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 5.50 | fair |
| Bochum win | 10% | 11% | 10.00 | value: +8% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 395.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1635.00 | 1472.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.77 | -50.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.15 |
| state index | 1.15 | -1.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |