← 2. Bundesliga 2011-12 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 56% | 60% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.75 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 19% | 14% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1415.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1437.67 | 1388.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.41 | 13.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 36.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.96 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |