← 2. Bundesliga 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 46% | 50% | 2.05 | value: +3% |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 27% | 22% | 3.60 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 240.00 | 362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1532.94 | 1612.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.27 | -3.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| league points | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 2.09 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |