← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Thu, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 45% | 39% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.25 | fair |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 27% | 30% | 3.50 | value: +7% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2120.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1416.29 | 1545.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.29 | -4.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 32.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.83 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |