← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 46% | 2.60 | value: +19% |
| Oberhausen win | 34% | 26% | 2.80 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oberhausen | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 11513.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1344.62 | 1523.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.89 | -5.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 24.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.39 |
| state index | -1.18 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |