← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Mon, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 45% | 44% | 2.15 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.30 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 27% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frankfurt FSV | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1433.53 | 1573.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.24 | 31.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 34.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.93 |
| state index | -1.14 | 0.87 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |