← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 50% | 46% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.60 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 23% | 27% | 4.20 | value: +11% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2088.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1431.78 | 1431.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.74 | -46.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 30.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.27 |
| state index | -1.22 | -1.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |