← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Mon, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 37% | 37% | 2.50 | fair |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 36% | 2.80 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1352.00 | 529.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1562.82 | 1631.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.02 | 16.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 2.08 |
| state index | 0.84 | 1.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |