← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottbus win | 62% | 68% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 17% | 4.20 | fair |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 16% | 15% | 6.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cottbus | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 620.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1545.10 | 1388.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.72 | -10.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 42.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |