← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sat, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 54% | 58% | 1.75 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 19% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 11485.00 | 2080.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1523.15 | 1427.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.80 | -41.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.16 |
| state index | 0.17 | -1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |