← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt FSV win | 38% | 52% | 2.45 | value: +28% |
| Ingolstadt win | 33% | 22% | 2.90 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frankfurt FSV | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1444.49 | 1409.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.25 | 22.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 33.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |